MARKETING & FINANCE CONSOLIDATED REPORT IN ADVANCE OF 2021 BUDGET PREP
March 2020
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MARKETING & FINANCE CONSOLIDATED REPORT IN ADVANCE OF 2021 BUDGET PREP
March 2020
Macro Trends
Shrinking competitor base due to governmental action: school closures, no new independent study schools
Less competition
Districts fighting back against enrollment loss using legislation and litigation, and now diversification
Districts fighting back
Increasing independent study student market size due to more parents working from home
addressable Market size increase
Pent up demand, then public backlash due to lack of school choice
PUBLIC BACKLASH
MICRO TRENDS
Teachers are becoming less presenters and more personal consultants for students. Families who choose Method expect a personal relationship with not only the student, but with the student's family. Waiting until parent-teacher conference to get acquainted and share updates isn't acceptable anymore.
TEACHERS MATTER MORE THAN EVER
Online school is a perfect fit for student athletes. At Method, we've seen dramatic enrollment increases of students in team sports, olympic sports, and extreme sports.
student athletes love method
In 2019-20, for the first time, Method's LA charter overtook the San Diego charter. We expect the gap to widen as San Diego county districts are increasingly anti-charter and not open to partnerships. And although Orange County (which could count for either charter) is counted toward San Diego enrollment, the LA charter draws from a substantially larger population base.
METHOD LA OVERTAKES METHOD SD in enrollment
"Summer school" was a mechanism for fraud by one organization, and restrictions are likely coming as a result. School districts are already feeling the pinch. One well-known LA county high school who works closely with Method confided that "without summer school, our graduation rates would plummet."
PERCENTAGE OF SHORT-TERM ENROLLMENT DECREASING
FINANCIAL POSITION REMAINS STRONG;
STORM ON HORIZON
Fund balance of $9.7 million; $4.6m Dehesa, $5.1m Acton charters; original savings plan for learning centers for both charters has been scrapped due to AB 1507. Funds will be allocated elsewhere.
RAINY DAY FUND
Low overhead, no debt, and using our own online curriculum leads to margins >20% (>25% with AB 1507 enacted); more investment in curriculum, stem vans, tech, and lower class sizes planned
OUR MODEL SCALES
No debt, including receivables, provides fiscal flexibility and security.
NO DEBT
Slowing economy*, population growth growth slowing in California, political uncertainty; deferrals?
ECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY PERSISTS
Anti-charter legislation authored by unions, scandals with far-reaching impacts on charters, legal challenges, new governor
FISCAL POLICY SHIFT AWAY FROM CHARTERS
LOW OVERHEAD, LACK OF LEGACY COSTS
DEVELOPMENT PLATEAU
We're reaching a point where we need to invest more into systems to get them where we want, but laws don't allow for much flexibility in this budget area
No pension or OPEB, no large restricted fund balances, no maintenance costs related to aging facilities
MARKETING STRATEGY EVOLVING
Focus on student & family experience; bring school to the students
Experience
Customer satisfaction research. NPS, course and teacher feedback
RESEARCH
More traffic to website, better traffic
WEB TRAFFIC
Better follow up with traffic using bots, live chat, automation
CHAT & FOLLOW UP
Our goal has always been 2/3 of our students through word of mouth
WORD OF MOUTH
Product and service enhancements are continual and informed
IT'S THE PRODUCT
TRAFFIC, CHATS, TICKETS UP
FOCUS ON THE CX IS PAYING OFF
ONGOING RESEARCH
KEY LCAP COMPONENT
2018
2019
2020
n =186
n =2968
n = 191
Most recent parent-only NPS (January 2020): 59
Includes students and parents